GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/10/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Poole Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SalisburyPoole Town
55.6Attack33.3
63.5Defence66.7
62.7Form50.0
62.5Power53.0
1.75xG0.93
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