GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/16/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyWDDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SalisburyMerthyr Town
55.6Attack67.5
63.5Defence53.2
62.7Form53.2
62.5Power57.2
1.72xG1.34
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