GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hungerford TownWLLWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburyHungerford Town
55.6Attack61.1
63.5Defence44.4
62.7Form50.8
62.5Power52.7
2.06xG1.20
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