Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Salisbury are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hendon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00