GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/13/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Harrow BoroughWWLDL

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburyHarrow Borough
55.6Attack47.6
63.5Defence23.0
62.7Form31.0
62.5Power36.0
3.00xG0.89
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