GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/14/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gosport BoroughDDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SalisburyGosport Borough
55.6Attack0.0
63.5Defence66.7
62.7Form0.0
62.5Power26.7
1.90xG0.83
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