Salisburyvs
Folkestone Invicta
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salisbury 2-0 Folkestone Invicta
Original prediction
Salisbury
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.3% | 46.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.3% | 26.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.4% | 27.5% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00