GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Dorchester TownLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SalisburyDorchester Town
55.6Attack52.4
63.5Defence38.9
62.7Form47.6
62.5Power48.3
2.30xG1.02
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