Salisburyvs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40