GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyDDWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SalisburyChesham United
55.6Attack65.9
63.5Defence63.5
62.7Form71.4
62.5Power67.2
1.30xG1.35
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