GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyLLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Beaconsfield TownWWLWD

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburyBeaconsfield Town
55.6Attack50.0
63.5Defence38.1
62.7Form38.1
62.5Power44.0
2.36xG0.96
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