GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/13/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AFC Totton are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Totton hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC TottonLDDDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SalisburyAFC Totton
55.6Attack70.6
63.5Defence64.3
62.7Form64.3
62.5Power65.5
1.28xG1.44
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