Salgueirosvs
Feirense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Taça de Portugal · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salgueiros · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salgueiros 1-0 Feirense
Original prediction
Salgueiros
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.71 | 24.1% | 36.6% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 27.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.3% | 36.2% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Salgueiros
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Salgueiros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60