GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salford City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wolves U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 33.8 against 33.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Salford City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salford City

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salford CityLDWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wolves U21LDLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Salford CityWolves U21
55.6Attack33.3
0.0Defence22.2
33.3Form33.3
33.8Power33.8
2.15xG1.68
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