GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salford City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Stockport County are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockport County hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Salford City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salford City

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salford CityLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stockport CountyWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Salford CityStockport County
55.6Attack33.3
0.0Defence50.0
33.3Form33.3
33.8Power40.9
1.81xG1.63
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