GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salford City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rotherham are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rotherham

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salford CityWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RotherhamDDDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Salford CityRotherham
55.6Attack50.0
0.0Defence77.8
33.3Form72.2
33.8Power68.7
1.24xG2.02
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