GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salford City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Port Vale are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Port Vale hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Salford City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salford City

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Salford CityDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Port ValeDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Salford CityPort Vale
55.6Attack25.0
0.0Defence58.3
33.3Form33.3
33.8Power41.9
1.69xG1.58
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