Salford Cityvs
Manchester United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/31/2023, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Salford City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Salford City hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Salford City holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Salford City
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.67/3.67