Salernitanavs
Potenza
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salernitana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Salernitana 1-0 Potenza, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Salernitana 4-2 Potenza
Original prediction
Salernitana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.0% | 51.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 27.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.9% | 21.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Salernitana 1–0 Potenza
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Salernitana
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Salernitana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SalernitanaDDLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
PotenzaWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SalernitanaPotenza
43.9Attack33.3
63.2Defence58.8
60.5Form37.7
58.2Power45.1
1.21xG0.64