Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salcedo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salcedo 3-1 Vega Real
Original prediction
Salcedo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Salcedo
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Salcedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SalcedoDWDWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vega RealWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SalcedoVega Real
50.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power64.8
1.21xG0.94