Salcedovs
Mount Pleasant Academy
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 9/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salcedo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salcedo 1-1 Mount Pleasant Academy
Original prediction
Salcedo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.2% | 40.2% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 28.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.0% | 31.1% | -10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Salcedo
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Salcedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20