GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 9/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salcedo · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Salcedo 1-0 Delfines Del Este, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Salcedo 1-0 Delfines Del Este

Original prediction

Salcedo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9147.0%53.1%6.1 pts
Draw3.2427.7%26.6%-1.1 pts
Away3.5325.4%20.3%-5.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.1 pts

Projected Score

Salcedo 1–0 Delfines Del Este

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Salcedo

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Salcedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalcedoWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Delfines Del EsteWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SalcedoDelfines Del Este
76.2Attack33.3
81.0Defence85.7
81.0Form66.7
78.5Power64.6
1.44xG0.63
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