Salamanca UDSvs
SS Reyes
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salamanca UDS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salamanca UDS 3-2 SS Reyes
Original prediction
Salamanca UDS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.2% | 36.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 29.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.5% | 34.5% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Salamanca UDS
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Salamanca UDS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60