Salamanca UDSvs
RSD Alcalá
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salamanca UDS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salamanca UDS 3-0 RSD Alcalá
Original prediction
Salamanca UDS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.8% | 38.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.3% | 31.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Salamanca UDS
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Salamanca UDS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80