Salamanca UDSvs
Navalcarnero
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salamanca UDS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
Original prediction
Salamanca UDS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.4% | 48.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 25.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.0% | 26.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Salamanca UDS
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Salamanca UDS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60