Sakaryasporvs
Kütahyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sakaryaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sakaryaspor 2-0 Kütahyaspor
Original prediction
Sakaryaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.1% | 51.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.9% | 24.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.0% | 23.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Sakaryaspor
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Sakaryaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60