Sakaryasporvs
İskenderunspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sakaryaspor · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sakaryaspor 2-2 İskenderunspor
Original prediction
Sakaryaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.9% | 60.0% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 7.05 | 12.8% | 21.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 14.43 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Sakaryaspor
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Sakaryaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40