Sakaryasporvs
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/20/2023, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sakaryaspor are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sakaryaspor hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the 1. Lig, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.33/0.33
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50