Turkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sakaryaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 63.0% | 45.5% | -17.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.8% | 25.6% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 6.00 | 15.2% | 28.9% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sakaryaspor
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Sakaryaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SakaryasporLWDWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bursa YıldırımsporDDWWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SakaryasporBursa Yıldırımspor
66.7Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power88.7
1.74xG1.48