Sakaryasporvs
24 Erzincanspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sakaryaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sakaryaspor 1-3 24 Erzincanspor
Original prediction
Sakaryaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.8% | 49.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 25.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Sakaryaspor
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Sakaryaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00