GGOALVIO

Austria · Cup · 7/22/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

SAK Klagenfurt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Cup, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAK KlagenfurtDWLWW

GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sturm GrazWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SAK KlagenfurtSturm Graz
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power97.0
1.84xG2.51
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