Saipavs
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saipa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Saipa 0-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Saipa 0-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Original prediction
Saipa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.9% | 42.6% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.1% | 32.6% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.0% | 24.8% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Saipa 0–0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Saipa
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Saipa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SaipaLWWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenavarsazi QeshmWDDDW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SaipaShenavarsazi Qeshm
41.7Attack25.0
75.0Defence83.3
75.0Form50.0
66.2Power56.2
0.83xG0.57