Saipavs
Naft Gachsaran
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saipa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Saipa 0-0 Naft Gachsaran, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Saipa 0-1 Naft Gachsaran
Original prediction
Saipa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.3% | 39.8% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.1% | 33.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.92 | 18.5% | 27.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
Saipa 0–0 Naft Gachsaran
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Saipa
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Saipa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SaipaDLLWW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Naft GachsaranWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SaipaNaft Gachsaran
33.3Attack27.8
72.2Defence72.2
55.6Form33.3
55.9Power46.3
0.77xG0.55