Saint Etiennevs
Rodez
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saint Etienne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Saint Etienne 2-0 Rodez
Original prediction
Saint Etienne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 68.8% | 54.6% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.04 | 18.4% | 23.6% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 7.27 | 12.8% | 21.7% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–07%
Predicted outcome
Saint Etienne
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Saint Etienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20