GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Saint Etienne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Saint Etienne are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Grenoble are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Saint Etienne hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Ligue 2, while Saint Etienne holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Saint Etienne

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Saint Etienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Saint EtienneWWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.75/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
GrenobleLWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Saint EtienneGrenoble
56.2Attack37.7
63.8Defence61.4
58.1Form44.7
59.2Power49.8
1.43xG0.72
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