Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Saham 1-0 Sur
Original prediction
Saham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 47.8% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 27.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.9% | 24.6% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Saham
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Saham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SahamLDDWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SurWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SahamSur
33.3Attack33.3
77.8Defence11.1
66.7Form0.0
62.6Power20.2
1.59xG0.77