Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Saguntino are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manresa are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Saguntino hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.75/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00