Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Saguntino are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Badalona are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Badalona hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67