GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sagan Tosu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yokohama F. Marinos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Yokohama F. Marinos hold a 42.7-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the J-League Cup, while Yokohama F. Marinos holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yokohama F. Marinos

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sagan TosuLLDWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Yokohama F. MarinosWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sagan TosuYokohama F. Marinos
22.2Attack66.7
16.7Defence66.7
22.2Form70.0
24.7Power67.4
0.68xG2.84
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