Sagan Tosuvs
Vanraure Hachinohe
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sagan Tosu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sagan Tosu 2-0 Vanraure Hachinohe
Original prediction
Sagan Tosu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.2% | 45.1% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.6% | 29.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 18.1% | 25.4% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Projected Score
Sagan Tosu 1–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sagan Tosu
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Sagan Tosu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80