GGOALVIO

Japan · J2 League · 8/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sagan Tosu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Sagan Tosu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tochigi City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sagan Tosu hold a 38.4-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the J2 League, while Sagan Tosu holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sagan Tosu

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

14.9%

Sagan Tosu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sagan TosuWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tochigi CityLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sagan TosuTochigi City
40.4Attack0.0
62.3Defence33.3
50.9Form0.0
53.7Power15.3
1.35xG0.78
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