GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Consadole Sapporo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sagan Tosu are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Consadole Sapporo are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Consadole Sapporo hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the J-League Cup, while Consadole Sapporo holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Consadole Sapporo

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Consadole Sapporo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sagan TosuWDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Consadole SapporoDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Sagan TosuConsadole Sapporo
22.2Attack66.7
16.7Defence37.5
22.2Form54.2
24.7Power54.3
1.28xG2.59
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