Sagamiharavs
Tochigi SC
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sagamihara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sagamihara 0-0 Tochigi SC
Original prediction
Sagamihara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.1% | 54.9% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 24.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.6% | 20.3% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Sagamihara
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Sagamihara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80