Sagamiharavs
Kamatamare Sanuki
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/9/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sagamihara · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sagamihara 3-2 Kamatamare Sanuki
Original prediction
Sagamihara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.5% | 67.4% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 19.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 20.9% | 13.4% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Sagamihara
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Sagamihara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80