Safavs
Reyady Abaseya
COMPLETEDLebanon · Premier League · 10/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Safa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Safa 2-1 Reyady Abaseya
Original prediction
Safa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 51.5% | 40.4% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 27.3% | 30.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 21.2% | 29.5% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Safa
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Safa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SafaWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67
BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Reyady AbaseyaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
SafaReyady Abaseya
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.08xG0.92