Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Safa Baku · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 02:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Safa Baku
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Safa Baku has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Safa BakuLLLLW
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ArazLDLLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Safa BakuAraz
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
42.7Power26.7
1.46xG1.05