Sacramento Republicvs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sacramento Republic 0-0 San Antonio, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sacramento Republic 0-0 San Antonio
Original prediction
Sacramento Republic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.3% | 49.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 29.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 23.1% | 21.9% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Sacramento Republic 0–0 San Antonio
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80