Sacramento Republicvs
Phoenix Rising
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sacramento Republic 1-0 Phoenix Rising, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sacramento Republic 2-2 Phoenix Rising
Original prediction
Sacramento Republic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Sacramento Republic 1–0 Phoenix Rising
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sacramento RepublicWDLWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Phoenix RisingWLDDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising
43.9Attack45.0
71.9Defence55.0
52.6Form41.7
56.9Power48.4
1.30xG0.67