Sacramento RepublicvsPhoenix Rising

Sacramento Republic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.