Sacramento Republicvs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sacramento Republic 1-0 Lexington
Original prediction
Sacramento Republic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
14.8%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sacramento RepublicDLWWD
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LexingtonWWDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sacramento RepublicLexington
44.4Attack51.9
70.4Defence59.3
50.0Form51.9
55.6Power54.8
1.16xG0.84