GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sacramento Republic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.6 against 54.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sacramento RepublicLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC TulsaWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Sacramento RepublicFC Tulsa
44.4Attack37.0
70.4Defence68.5
50.0Form53.7
55.6Power54.7
0.90xG0.60
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